‘Survivor: Heroes v. Healers v. Hustlers’ Season 35 Episode 4 Betting Odds
–This is the 35th season for CBS’s reality show.
–’Survivor’ was one of the early pioneers of the reality TV genre.
–’Survivor: Heroes v. Healers v. Hustlers’ Episode 4 airs on Wednesday, October 18 at 8:00 PM Eastern.
Patrick Bolton got the heave-ho in the third episode of ‘Survivor: Heroes v. Healers v. Hustlers’ leaving the contestant roster at 15. He was my third choice to be eliminated in last week’s odds rundown at +650. He was also +3500 to win the show tying him with a bunch of others for the biggest longshot. Obviously, the pecking order on a reality show–and particularly ‘Survivor’ can change quickly but the bottom line was that I didn’t expect him to do much and he didn’t. His primary liability was his personality which the people deciding his fate found ‘annoying’. Among reality show contestants there’s a mistaken impression that the way to win is by a) making an ass of yourself and b) inflicting your wretched personality on as many other contestants as possible. There is some logic to that since everything else being equal the producers of the show want contestants that make for ‘good television’. Unfortunately, many ‘annoying’ contestants miss the big picture–it has to be used within a cohesive framework of strategy and tactics. Just making a nuisance of one’s self isn’t a ‘strategy’ in itself. Much as there’s one ‘cowboy hat guy’ on every reality show there’s also at least one ‘annoying guy’.
Based on the reaction of the ‘Survivor’ fans on several different websites I’m not the only one who was unhappy to see Simone Nguyen out so early in the contest. No one flat out said that they ‘wanted to see her naked‘ like I did but they intimated that. Plus her ‘I hate the outdoors’ personality made for entertaining television casting her as a ‘poor man’s Lovey Howell‘.
WHO WILL BE NEXT?
Lauren Rimmer remains our favorite to get eliminated in the next episode priced at +200. One of the factors that makes setting odds on reality shows challenging is that the ‘obvious’ contestant to be eliminated is often kept around for that very reason. The idea is that people will tune in in hopes that the contestant will *finally* meet their denouement. This ‘swerve’ has become ubiquitious on reality television and while any causal relationship with higher ratings is likely impossible to prove don’t expect it to go anywhere. ‘Project Runway’, for example, has done this with the Buitendorp Twins this season. Their antics are definitely the most memorable thing on the show which is why the producers have strung out their ultimate elimination for so long. There’s an old pro wrestling adage that the best way to ‘draw money’ is to have people love you. The second best way is to have people hate you. That concept also applies to reality television.
There’s one more possible angle developing on ‘Survivor’–there’s a virgin on the island. More specifically, it turns out that Jessica Johnston has somehow made it to age 29 without doing the deed. She’s an attractive woman and has a doctorate in nursing but she might have some weird religious issues with sex as suggested by this bit in her official CBS bio:
Who or what is your inspiration in life?
Cliché – My parents. They both have devoted their lives to helping others. They have worked hard and excelled in education and careers—showing me that hard work pays off. They have shown me what true love means as well as the value of family and having a relationship with Christ. Even in my adult life, I remember the wisdom and lessons they’ve taught me while growing up, and it keeps this scattered mind of mine on point! They are my biggest fans, and I am theirs.
A lot of subtext in that quote. The ‘virgin’ revelation is surprising given Jessica’s bio quote that she’s ‘likable and able to entertain a crowd’. Personally, I could care less if she’s a virgin but the producers are definitely planting the seeds (no pun intended) at making this an angle this season. And while we’re talking subtext maybe she went in to the ‘Survivor’ experience with hopes that she’d lose her ‘V-card’ to some tan and unwashed hunk:
What’s your reason for being on Survivor?
I’m looking for the time of my life! Of course the money, adventure, and opportunities to challenge myself physically, emotionally, and spiritually in ways that I haven’t been challenged before.
She’s not going to come out and say “I’m hoping to get laid” but read between the lines and her true meaning is obvious. Maybe she’s thinking that what ‘happens on a nationally televised reality show stays on a nationally televised reality show’. And, no, I’m not posting odds on whether she leaves the show with her virtue intact. Not because I have any moral or ethical problems doing so but because it’s not possible to verify. It is interesting to note that she’s my favorite to give viewers the next glimpse of pixelated nudity. I still think that’s the case despite her ‘purity’. The standard ‘Survivor’ contestant contract has a bit about agreeing to be filmed “clothed, partially clothed or naked, whether I am aware or unaware of such videotaping, filming or recording”. If she’s come to the show to ‘cut loose’ it’s logical that some gratuitous nudity would be part of the ride.
Here’s the official SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS odds for Episode 4 of ‘Survivor: Heroes v. Healers v. Hustlers’:
‘SURVIVOR: HEROES V. HEALERS V. HUSTLERS’ SEASON 35 BETTING ODDS
TO WIN ‘SURVIVOR: HEROES V. HEALERS V. HUSTLERS’
Cole Medders: +350
Ryan Ulrich: +350
Chrissy Hofbeck: +500
Ali Elliott: +750
Ben Driebergen: +950
John Hilsabeck: +950
Jessica Johnston: +950
Roark Luskin: +2100
Ashley Nolan: +3500
Alan Ball: +3500
Lauren Rimmer: +3500
Joe Mena: +3500
Mike Zahalsky: +3500
Desiree Williams: +3500
Devon Pinto: +3500
GENDER OF ‘SURVIVOR: HEROES V. HEALERS V. HUSTLERS’ WINNER
Male: -210
Female: +180
AGE OF ‘SURVIVOR: HEROES V. HEALERS V. HUSTLERS’ WINNER
Over 30.5: +130
Under 30.5: -150
‘SURVIVOR: HEROES V. HEALERS V. HUSTLERS’ EPISODE 4 BETTING ODDS
WHO WILL BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 4?
Lauren Rimmer: +200
Alan Ball: +300
Desiree Williams: +500
Joe Mena: +750
Ali Elliott: +1500
Roark Luskin: +2100
Ben Driebergen: +2500
Chrissy Hofbeck: +2500
Ashley Nolan: +2500
Mike Zahalsky: +5000
Ryan Ulrich: +5000
Devon Pinto: +5000
John Hilsabeck: +5000
Jessica Johnston: +5000
Cole Medders: +5000
No One Eliminated in Episode 4: +7500
WHO WILL WIN REWARD IN EPISODE 4?
Soko Tribe (Healers): -250
Levu Tribe (Heroes): +225
Yawa Tribe (Hustlers): +500
No Reward Winner: +1500
WHO WILL WIN IMMUNITY IN EPISODE 4?
Soko Tribe (Healers): -210
Levu Tribe (Heroes): +150
Yawa Tribe (Hustlers): +700
No Immunity Winner: +1150
WILL A HIDDEN IDOL BE PLAYED IN EPISODE 4?
Yes: +750
No: -1500
WILL ANYONE QUIT/BE REMOVED FROM ISLAND DUE TO INJURY IN EPISODE 4?
Yes: +2500
No: -5000
WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY IN EPISODE 4?
Yes: +150
No: -170
WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY BETWEEN THE BEGINNING OF EPISODE 4 AND THE END OF SEASON 35?
Yes: -750
No: +500
GENDER IDENTITY OF NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY?
Female: +150
Male: -170
NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY?
Jessica Johnston: +450
John Hilsabeck +450
Ashley Nolan: +500
Devon Pinto: +500
Ali Elliott: +650
Cole Medders: +650
Roark Luskin: +650
Ben Driebergen: +2500
Joe Mena: +3500
Chrissy Hofbeck: +3500
Lauren Rimmer: +3500
Ryan Ulrich: +3500
Desiree Williams: +5000
Alan Ball: +5000
Mike Zahalsky: +5000
No One Pixelated Due To Nudity in Season 35: +7500
In the previous four propositions pixelation must be due to accidental or intentional nudity and not due to obscene gestures or any other reason.
EPISODE 4 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS
Over 1.75: -150
Under 1.75: +130
EPISODE 4 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE
Over 6.5: -130
Under 6.5: +110
EPISODE 4 TOTAL VIEWERS
Over 8 million: -170
Under 8 million: +150
EPISODE 4 NIELSEN RANKING (10/9/17 through 10/15/17)
Over 9.5: -120
Under 9.5: +100
PREVIOUS ELIMINATIONS
Katrina Radke finished 18th
Simone Nguyen finished 17th
Patrick Bolton finished 16th