‘Project Runway’ Season 16 Episode 8 Betting Odds

–’Project Runway’ will feature a wide array of models this year ranging in size from 0 to 22.

–’Project Runway’ has already been renewed for two more seasons after this one.

–Episode 8 of ‘Project Runway’ Season 16 will air on October 5, 2017 at 8:00 PM Eastern on the Lifetime Network

Episode 7 of ‘Project Runway’ had what pro wrestling geeks call a ‘screwjob finish’. Instead of two designers being eliminated it turns out that *no* designers were eliminated. At least not yet. The Buitendorp Twins would have been sent packing were it not for an act of God…er…act of Heidi Klum who decreed that the two girls will go ‘mano a mano’. Translated–they get an hour to re-do the Episode 7 challenge and whoever has the best design will stay. TVLine.com is expecting some good television out of what looks like the ‘end of the line’ for the Buitendorp Twin train wreck:

Unfortunately, the judges couldn’t decide which twin to send home, prompting Heidi Klum to announce a do-over challenge — Claire and Shawn will each get one hour to design a new menswear-inspired look. (Wait, why did I say “unfortunately”? This is going to be amazing!)

So best as I can figure Episode 8 will feature the Buitendorp Twins bloodbath *and* the scheduled challenge with the other contestants. I’m also assuming that there will be two eliminations this week–Shawn/Claire Buitendorp and a designer from the remaining group. It’s hard to figure out what is going on from what transpired on the show and the ‘Project Runway’ press. That’s why ‘No One Eliminated’ is at such a short price this week. I’ve also added the proviso that the ‘Episode 8 elimination’ market does not include the American fashion industry’s favorite twins. They’ve got their own odds for their head to head matchup.

SEASON 16 ‘TO WIN’ ODDS UPDATED

The ‘To Win’ odds for Season 16 have changed a bit following Episode 8 despite no eliminations. Margarita Alverez won the Episode 7 challenge and I’ve moved her up to the second favorite spot priced at +250. Brandon Kee is still the favorite, now at +200 to win. Ayana Ife has dropped to third choice at +450. She’s got an interesting ‘scoring line’ this season. She won the Episode 2 challenge but has been right in the middle of the pack in the other six episodes. Yep, no highs and no lows. Kenya Freeman has been dropped down to the fifth choice to win at +1000 odds. I can’t figure her out for the life of me. She was top three in the first two episodes, middle of the pack in Episode 3, bottom 3 in Episode 4, runner up in Episodes 5 and 6 and bottom 3 once again in Episode 7.

I might have to re-price Kentaro Kameyama after Episode 8. He was decidedly mediocre for most of the season but he has a win and two top 3 finishes in his last four designs. Here’s what we do know–there are only two designers not named ‘Buitendorp’ with more than one ‘Low’ finish. That’s the aforementioned Kenya Freeman and Amy Bond. Bond doesn’t have any ‘High’ finishes so I’m making her the top choice to be eliminated from the ‘Non Buitendorp field’ in Episode 8. Freeman’s two lows should put her at risk for elimination but there’s a problem with that–her four ‘High’ top 3 finishes is more than anyone except favorite Brandon Kee who has five (2 wins, one runner up, two top three finishes). My gut instinct tells me that Freeman’s inconsistency of late is a bad thing. She’s clearly got some design chops but with the field getting smaller so too does the margin for error.

Here’s the updated odds to win Season 16 of ‘Project Runway’ along with the odds for Episode 8:

PROJECT RUNWAY SEASON 16 BETTING ODDS

TO WIN SEASON 16 OF ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’

Brandon Kee: +200
Margarita Alverez: +250
Ayana Ife: +450
Batani-Khalfani: +750
Kenya Freeman: +1000
Kentaro Kameyama: +1500
Michael Brambila: +1500
Claire Buitendorp: +2500
Amy Bond: +2500
Shawn Buitendorp: +2500

PROJECT RUNWAY SEASON 16 EPISODE 8 PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS

WHICH BUITENDORP TWIN WILL WIN THEIR ‘HEAD TO HEAD CHALLENGE’ IN EPISODE 8 OF ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’?

Shawn: +250
Claire: -300

TO BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 8 ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’ SEASON 16 (NOT INCLUDING THE BUITENDORP TWINS)

Amy Bond: +135
Kentaro Kameyama: +500
No One Eliminated in Episode 8: +750
Michael Brambila: +750
Margarita Alvarez: +750
Kenya Freeman: +750
Ayana Ife: +1500
Batani-Khalfani: +1500
Brandon Kee: +1500

If no designer is eliminated other than either or both Buitendorp Twins the bet will be graded ‘No One Eliminated in Episode 8’.

TO FINISH BOTTOM TWO BUT SAFE EPISODE 8 ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’ SEASON 16

Kentaro Kameyama: +150
Amy Bond: +250
Kenya Freeman: +450
Michael Brambila: +650
Margarita Alvarez: +1500
Ayana Ife: +1750
Batani-Khalfani: +1750
Brandon Kee: +1750
No One Bottom Two but Safe in Episode 8: +2500

TO WIN CHALLENGE IN EPISODE 8 ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’ SEASON 16

Brandon Kee: +250
Kenya Freeman: +250
Margarita Alverez: +450
Ayana Ife: +650
Batani-Khalfani: +650
Michael Brambila: +1250
Kentaro Kameyama: +2500
Amy Bond: +3500
No One Wins Episode 8 Challenge: +3500

TO FINISH SECOND IN CHALLENGE IN EPISODE 8 ‘PROJECT RUNWAY’ SEASON 16

Kenya Freeman: +250
Brandon Kee: +250
Margarita Alverez: +500
Ayana Ife: +500
Batani-Khalfani: +650
Michael Brambila: +1200
Kentaro Kameyama: +1500
Amy Bond: +2500
No One Finishes Second in Episode 8 Challenge: +2500

WILL TIM GUNN USE HIS SAVE IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +300
No: -350

WILL TIM GUNN SAY ‘GATHER ROUND’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -250
No: +210

WILL TIM GUNN SAY THE WORD ‘FABULOUS’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -250
No: +210

WILL TIM GUNN SAY THAT HE’LL ‘MISS’ ANY ELIMINATED DESIGNER?

Yes: +130
No: -150

WILL TIM GUNN USE THE EXPRESSION ‘LOT OF LOOK’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +180
No: -210

WILL TIM GUNN SAY THAT HE IS ‘WORRIED’ OR ‘CONCERNED’ ABOUT A DESIGN IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WHO WILL BE ELIMINATED FIRST?

Claire Buitendorp: +250
Shawn Buitendorp: -300

WILL EITHER BUITENDORP TWIN MAKE REFERENCE TO KATY PERRY?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL EITHER BUITENDORP TWIN USE THE WORD ‘INDEED’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -350
No: +300

WILL ANY JUDGE ASK ‘WHERE IS SHE GOING’ OR ‘WHERE IS SHE GOING IN THIS OUTFIT’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANY JUDGE SAY THAT A DESIGN ‘LOOKS EXPENSIVE’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANY JUDGE SAY ‘I WOULD WEAR THAT’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANY JUDGE SAY ANYTHING QUESTIONING ‘WHO SOMEONE IS AS A DESIGNER’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANY CONTESTANT SAY ‘THIS IS A COMPETITION’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +210
No: -250

WILL ANY CONTESTANT USE THE EXPRESSION ‘WHO I AM AS A DESIGNER’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +110
No: -130

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW USE THE EXPRESSION ‘MAKE IT WORK’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -350
No: +300

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW USE THE EXPRESSION ‘PROJECT SEAMSTRESS’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +210
No: -250

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW SAY THE WORD ‘MATRONLY’ IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +130
No: -150

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW USE THE TERM ‘MALL CLOTHES’ OR OTHERWISE SUGGEST THAT AN OUTFIT LOOKS LIKE IT CAME FROM THE MALL IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +130
No: -150

WILL ANY DESIGNER SUFFER AN INJURY IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: +600
No: -750

WILL ANY DESIGNER CRY ON CAMERA IN EPISODE 8?

Yes: -300
No: +250

KEY DEMO RATING FOR EPISODE 8 AS REPORTED BY ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘?

Over 0.45: -150
Under 0.45: +130

TOTAL VIEWERSHIP FOR EPISODE 8 AS REPORTED BY ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘?

Over 1.75 million: -150
Under 1.75 million: +130

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.