Betting Odds Set For Second US Presidential Debate

It was so much fun the first time we’re going to do it again. The second US Presidential debate between Republican Candidate Donald Trump and Democratic Candidate Hillary Clinton is set for Sunday, October 9 at Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri. The first debate was nothing if not a spectacle–as far as who ‘won’ that depended entirely on the ideological perspective of the viewer. The left leaning media said it was a ‘knockout victory’ by Hillary, their right leaning counterparts said that Trump was the clear victor. To the surprise of no one, the debate itself had a negligible impact on the various Presidential polls. It does look like Hillary Clinton strengthened her position somewhat but that is likely due to other factors. The reality is that these debates have little to no impact on voter opinion, let alone their candidate preference. At this point, they’re the proverbial ‘dog and pony show’–a hoop that candidates have to jump through without serving their theoretical intent.

This time around we’ve got even more props covering more topics–and even a prop based on the highly popular Presidential Debate Drinking Game. The oddsmakers at SportsBettingExperts.com have been working overtime to compile and create even more wagers realizing that the only way to make electoral politics–and particularly these debates–palatable is a combination of prop betting, drinking games and a good sense of humor. There’s one more debate after this and then comes the important decision–voting for the Presidency will take place on Tuesday, November 8 and every American needs to make up their mind about what they’re going to do instead of wasting their time at the polls. The revolution will be decentralized and who runs the increasingly irrelevant Federal government just doesn’t matter. Hopefully by the time the next election rolls around the general public will realize that the President should have as little significance as the British Royal Family.

Like we did last time we’ll start with the odds to win the Presidency and then look at the many prop bets available for the second debate:

Here’s the full list of Presidential election and debate prop bet odds:

2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Next President of the United States:

Hillary Clinton:-333
Donald Trump: +240
Other: +3300

The last time we posted the debate odds the proposition bet on the winner of the Presidential election was worded slightly differently, with betting on the winner to be the ‘Democratic Candidate’ or the ‘Republican Candidate’. Now for better or worse, it looks like each candidate is in it for the long haul so we’ve re-worded this bet to reflect the actual candidates. Prior to the first debate, the odds were as follows:

Party to win 2016 US Presidential Election:

Democratic Party: -215
Republican Party: +175

The change reflects the polling data which shows that Clinton is solidifying her lead. As we did after the first debate, we’ll have some ‘post debate prop bets’ next week.

PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE SPECIALS


What color will Donald Trump’s tie be?:

Red: -250
Yellow/Gold: +175
Other Color: +500
Black: +3000
Blue: +3000

What color will Hillary Clinton’s jacket be?:

Blue: -175
White: +400
Other Color: +400
Yellow/Gold +600
Black: +1000
Red: +3300

Now that we’ve got the clothing props out of the way we’ll turn our attention to what passes for ‘substance’ in these debates. Here are the rules–unless specified otherwise, use of a phrase by either candidate, debate moderators or during the ‘Town Hall’ are included in the total count. Only specific mentions are counted. For example, if the prop bet refers to the word ‘Mexico’ any use of the word ‘Mexican’ wouldn’t count. For multiple word phrases like “Make America Great Again” they have to be said verbatim. In other words, if Trump were to say “Make America Really Great Again” that wouldn’t count. The phrase can be used as part of a larger sentence provided that the previous conditions are met.

How Many Times Will ‘China’ be said during the debate?:

Over 9.5: -110
Under 9.5: -130

How Many Times Will ‘Mexico’ be said during the debate?:

Over 4.5: -110
Under 4.5: -130

How Many Times Will ‘Russia’ be said during the debate?:

Over 12.5: -110
Under 12.5: -130

How Many Times Will ‘Trillion’ be said during the debate?:

Over 10.5: -120
Under 10.5: -120

How Many Times Will Donald Trump say “lie”, “lies” or “liar” during the debate?:

Over 4.5: +155
Under 4.5: -185

How Many Times Will Donald Trump say “wrong” during the debate?:

Over 3.5: -140
Under 3.5: +110

How Many Times Will Donald Trump say “tremendous” during the debate?:

Over 3.5: -140
Under 3.5: +110

Will Hillary Clinton say ‘basket of deplorables’ during the debate?:

Yes: +2000
No: -5000

Will Hillary Clinton say ‘tiny hands’ during the debate?:

Yes: +2500
No: -8000

Will Hillary Clinton say ‘Trump University’ during the debate?:

Yes: -150
No: +120

Will Hillary Clinton say ‘Trumped up trickle down’ during the debate?:

Yes: +260
No: -350

Will Donald Trump say ‘bigly’ or ‘big league’ during the debate?:

Yes: +100
No: -140

Will Donald Trump say ‘huge’ during the debate?:

Yes: -250
No: +170

Will Donald Trump say ‘build the wall’ or ‘build a wall’ during the debate?:

Yes: -175
No: +135

Will Donald Trump say ‘Brexit’ during the debate?:

Yes: -120
No: -110

Will Donald Trump say ‘British Pound’ during the debate?:

Yes: +500
No: -800

Will Donald Trump say ‘Crooked Hillary’ during the debate?:

Yes: +240
No: -300

Will Donald Trump say ‘David Cameron’ during the debate?:

Yes: +300
No: -400

Will Donald Trump say ‘England’ during the debate?:

Yes: +165
No: -205

Will Donald Trump say ‘founded ISIS’ during the debate?:

Yes: +500
No: -800

Will Donald Trump say ‘Make America Great Again’ during the debate?:

Yes: -500
No: +350

Will Donald Trump say ‘the Cyber’ during the debate?:

Yes: +325
No: -450

Will Donald Trump say ‘the Nuclear’ during the debate?:

Yes: +160
No: -195

Will either candidate say ‘Alec Baldwin’ during the debate?:

Yes: +700
No: -1250

Will either candidate say ‘all lives matter’ during the debate?:

Yes: +450
No: -700

Will either candidate say ‘background checks’ during the debate?:

Yes: -175
No: +145

Will either candidate say ‘Bernie Sanders’ during the debate?:

Yes: -150
No: +120

Will either candidate say ‘black lives matter’ during the debate?:

Yes: +400
No: -600

Will either candidate say ‘blue lives matter’ during the debate?:

Yes: +800
No: -1500

Will either candidate say ‘climate change’ during the debate?:

Yes: -220
No: +175

Will either candidate say ‘Gary Johnson’ during the debate?:

Yes: +850
No: -1600

Will either candidate say ‘Supreme Court’ during the debate?:

Yes: -150
No: +120

Will either candidate say ‘Tom Brady’ during the debate?:

Yes: +1000
No: -2000

Will either candidate say ‘peace among worlds’ during the debate?:

Yes: +1250
No: -2500

Will either candidate say ‘free Rick Sanchez’ or ‘free Rick’ during the debate?:

Yes: +1500
No: -3000

Which Network will have the most recorded viewers?:

NBC: -225
ABC: +150
CBS: +300
Fox: +550

Will the second presidential debate garner more viewers than the first based on Neilsen.com data?

Yes (over 84 million): +170
No (under 84 million): -250

Will Donald Trump invent another word during the debate?

Yes: +350
No: -600

Who will win the Presidential Debate Drinking Game (rules at www.debatedrinking.com)?:

Donald Trump: -220
Hillary Clinton: +155

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.