2020 Presidential Election Betting Odds
– Donald Trump still favored to win re-election in 2020.
– Catherine Cortez Masto, Tim Kaine and Cory Booker are Democratic Party favorites.
– Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders not given much of a chance in 2020.
We haven’t reviewed the 2020 Presidential betting odds since a few days after the 2016 Presidential Election. Since then, the electoral landscape has changed very little. The people that like Trump and voted for Trump *still* like him and will probably vote for him again. The people who voted for Hillary Clinton (plus quite a few people who didn’t bother to actually go vote for her) still detest Donald Trump and are in denial about why they lost and he won. The intelligent 50% of the nation didn’t vote and don’t care.
So far, the Democratic Party has kept making the same boneheaded mistakes that allowed Trump to win in the first place. They remain convinced that the entire nation–will get on board if they just continue their shrill and unfocused onslaught of rage against Trump, everyone he associates with and everyone that voted for him. The incredulity that ‘deplorables’ actually have the temerity to disagree with them hasn’t changed. There’s no strong counter-message to explain *why* people should have the same degree of venomous hate for Trump that they do. Trump is vulnerable on countless issues that could actually get Libertarians and non-voters to cross the aisle but to date the Democrats have ignored this fact.
The biggest problem for the Democrats is their refusal to accept the fact that Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election because reasonable people think she’s sleazy and many of the demographics that came out strong for Obama had no interest in voting for such an arrogant, entitled and generally unlikable candidate. It’s as if the entire party is allergic to the concept of ‘learning from their mistakes’. It’s really worse than that–there’s no acceptance of responsibility for the outcome of the election whatsoever. They quickly exhausted the usual excuses out of the electoral denial playbook–voter fraud, Wall Street machinations (which makes no sense as Hillary was the overwhelming choice of Wall Street elites) and vague suggestions of racial intimidation. Finding no traction with these they’ve grasped at every downright kooky conspiracy theory they can come up with rather than accept the reality of their situation. Thus we’ve got Alex Jones-esque concepts like ‘fake news’ and Russian hackers being discussed in all seriousness among their media sycophants. The only good news to come out of the election is that the Republican Party is in equally bad shape. More and more people are checking out of the entire partisan politics paradigm and with a little luck the US Presidency will be as irrelevant as the British monarchy within the next decade.
THE USUAL GERIATRIC POLITICAL HACKS WON’T BEAT TRUMP IN 2020
Since the Democrats are in complete denial they’ve come up with little in the way of serious opposition for the 2020 election. In all fairness, it’s a few years out but given the bare cupboard of candidates they need to start establishing some new faces on the national level. The fact that many people actually *want* Hillary Clinton to run again tells you everything you need to know. Bernie Sanders remains a ‘serious option’ in the eyes of some despite the fact that he’ll be 80 years old at the time of the next election. Wanna-be native American Elizabeth Warren is inexplicably considered a serious candidate as well. The best that the Democrats have come up with in the way of ‘new blood’ is former strong arm mayor of Newark, New Jersey Cory Booker and Tim Kaine. Booker is at least fairly young and African American so he’s not straight out of political hack central casting.
There is an undercurrent of support for Nevada junior senator Catherine Cortez Masto and given the shabby state of the party at the national level she looks to be the smart choice. Good background of government experience in several areas, including as a Federal prosecutor, assistant manager of Clark County, Nevada Attorney General and Chief of Staff to former Governor Bob Miller. She’s just 52 and is very media savvy and legitimately intelligent. She’s also the first Latina to serve in the Senate. She’ll be a formidable candidate–particularly against Trump–if the Democrats can wise up and put all of their long in the tooth political hacks out to pasture where they belong.
2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FUTURES
All bets are action regardless of whether a potential candidate runs or not
Will Oprah Winfrey run for the US Presidency in 2020?
Yes: +950
No: -2100
To Win US Presidential Election 2020
Donald Trump: +150
Mike Pence: +700
Tim Kaine: +1200
Cory Booker: +1750
Paul Ryan: +1750
Catherine Cortez Masto: +1750
Andrew Cuomo: +2000
Michelle Obama: +2500
Nikki Haley: +3000
Elizabeth Warren +3500
Hillary Clinton: +3500
Condoleezza Rice: +4000
Joe Biden: +4500
Michael Bloomberg: +5000
Marco Rubio: +5000
Julian Castro: +5000
Amy Kloubchar: +5000
Al Gore: +5000
Mitt Romney: +5000
Bob Iger: +5000
Sherrod Brown: +5500
Rand Paul: +5500
Bernie Sanders: +6000
Evan McMullin: +6500
John Kasich: +6750
Ted Cruz: +7500
Kamala Harris: +7500
Mark Zuckerberg: +7500
Oprah Winfrey: +8000
Tulsi Gabbard: +8000
Carly Fiorina: +8500
Steve Bannon: +8500
Kirsten Gillibrand: +9000
Mark Cuban: +9000
Vince McMahon: +9000
Linda McMahon: +9000
Tom Cotton: +10000
Ben Sasse: +10000
John Kasich: +10000
Jason Kander: +10000
Al Franken: +10000
Chris Murphy: +10000
Eric Garcetti: +10000
Bill Di Blasio: +10000
Rudy Giuliani: +10000
Jesse Ventura: +12500
George Clooney: +12500
Terry McAuliffe: +12500
Jeb Bush: +12500
Jay Nixon: +12500
Jon Stewart: +15000
Jerry Brown: +15000
John Hickenlooper: +15000
Newt Gingrich: +15000
Andrew Basiago: +15000
Ben Carson: +15000
Scott Walker: +15000
Tammy Duckworth: +15000
Chelsea Clinton: +15000
Adam Kokesh: +15000
Ron Perlman: +15000
Lady Gaga: +15000
Rob Portman: +17500
Joe Kennedy III: +17500
Bill Gates: +17500
Leonardo DiCaprio: +20000
Sarah Palin: +20000
Martin O’Malley: +22500
Rick Perry: +25000
Gavin Newsom: +25000
Denzel Washington: +25000
Tom Brady: +25000
Dave Mustaine: +30000
Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson: +30000
Chris Christie: +32500
Kevin Spacey: +32500
Kanye West: +35000
Jill Stein: +35000
Ivanka Trump: +35000
Bobby Jindal: +35000
Rick Sanchez: +35000
Steven Colbert: +40000
Ric Flair: +45000
James Comey: +55000
Jared Fogel: +70000
Vic Rattlehead: +70000
Rick Santorum: +72500
Lindsay Graham: +72500
Caitlyn Jenner: +75000
Party to win US Presidential Election 2020
Democrats: -125
Republicans: +105
Field: +2000
To Win Democratic Party Nomination:
Cory Booker: +400
Catherine Cortez Masto: +450
Tim Kaine: +450
Andrew Cuomo: +900
Sherrod Brown: +1000
Julian Castro: +1250
Elizabeth Warren: +1500
Michelle Obama: +2500
Hillary Clinton: +2500
Kirsten Gillibrand: +2500
Joe Biden: +2500
Amy Klobuchar: +2500
Oprah Winfrey: +2500
Bernie Sanders: +2500
John Hickenlooper: +2500
Mark Warner: +3000
Al Gore: +3000
Al Franken: +3000
Mark Cuban: +3000
To Win Republican Party Nomination:
Donald Trump: +100
Mike Pence: +350
Paul Ryan: +900
Marco Rubio: +1200
Nikki Haley: +1500
John Kasich: +2500
Mitt Romney: +3500
Ted Cruz: +3500
Tom Cotton: +3500
Ben Sasse: +3500
Evan McMullin: +3500
Ben Carson: +3500
Rand Paul: +3500
Jeb Bush: +3500
Sarah Palin: +5000
Ivanka Trump: +5000
Scott Walker: +5000
Rick Santorum: +10000
Lindsey Graham: +10000