2018 Critics’ Choice Movie Awards Betting Odds
–The 2018 Critics’ Choice Movie Awards will take place on Thursday, January 11, 2018
–2018 will be the 23rd Critics’ Choice Movie Awards
–The award winners are selected by members of The Broadcast Film Critics Association(BFCA)
The Academy Awards remain the ‘Super Bowl’ for the entertainment industry and that’ll be apparent in the run up to the 90th Oscars on March 4, 2018. In the meantime, there’s plenty of ‘precursor’ awards beginning with the Golden Globes on Sunday, January 7. After that it’ll be awards just about every week as any number of professional guilds and critics associations give out their honors. Just three days after the Golden Globes we’ve got another awards event as the Broadcast Film Critics Association (BFCA) and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association (BTJA) present 23rd Annual Critics’ Choice Awards. As the combined groups suggest, they cover both film and television in this ceremony and we’ll have separate odds rundowns for each. We’ll start with the movie awards.
In their press release announcing the nominees for the awards the BFCA claims that “The Critics’ Choice Awards” are “historically, the “Critics’ Choice Awards” are the most accurate predictor of the Academy Award nominations”. I have no idea if that is true or not. The Academy Award nominations will be released on January 23 so we’ll see if the predictive ability of the Critics’ Choice Awards holds true this year.
The Critics’ Choice Awards are held annually by the BFCA and BTJA to honor ‘the finest in cinematic and television achievement’. The BFCA is the largest film critics’ organization in the United States and Canada, representing more than 300 television, radio and online critics. BFCA members are the primary source of information for today’s film-going public. BTJA is the collective voice of journalists who regularly cover television for TV viewers, radio listeners and online audiences. Keep this membership in mind going forward–critics groups usually don’t have the same sort of insider politics at play in their balloting process that the Academy does in voting for the Oscars.
So here’s my 2018 Critics’ Choice Movie Awards betting odds. Stay tuned for the odds on the TV Awards coming within 24 hours:
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE MOVIE AWARDS BETTING ODDS
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST PICTURE’
The Shape of Water: +300
Call Me By Your Name: +500
Lady Bird: +500
Dunkirk: +700
The Post: +700
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +950
Get Out: +950
Darkest Hour: +1150
The Florida Project: +1150
The Big Sick: +1150
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST DIRECTOR’
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water): +150
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk): +350
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird): +500
Steven Spielberg (The Post): +750
Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name): +750
Jordan Peele (Get Out): +750
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST ACTOR’
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour): -150
James Franco (The Disaster Artist): +450
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread): +700
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name): +700
Tom Hanks (The Post): +950
Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger): +1250
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out): +1250
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST ACTRESS’
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): -125
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird): +450
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya): +450
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water): +700
Meryl Streep (The Post): +700
Jessica Chastain(Molly’s Game): +950
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR’
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project): -150
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): +400
Patrick Stewart (Logan): +750
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name): +750
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water): +750
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name: +900
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS’
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird): -150
Allison Janney (I, Tonya): +500
Hong Chau (Downsizing): +750
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick): +750
Mary J. Blige(Mudbound): +950
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water): +950
Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip): +1500
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY’
Lady Bird: +150
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +300
Get Out: +300
The Shape of Water: +750
The Post: +750
The Big Sick: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY’
The Disaster Artist: +175
Call Me By Your Name: +215
Molly’s Game: +350
Wonder: +350
Mudbound: +700
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST FILM ENSEMBLE’
The Post: +140
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +300
Lady Bird: +300
Mudbound: +500
Dunkirk: +500
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST ANIMATED FEATURE’
Coco: -250
The Breadwinner: +450
Loving Vincent: +750
The Lego Batman Movie: +750
Despicable Me 3: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST FOREIGN FILM’
BPM (Beats Per Minute): +145
The Square: +300
A Fantastic Woman: +450
First They Killed My Father: +450
Thelma: +750
In the Fade: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY’
Blade Runner 2049: -140
Dunkirk: +350
The Shape of Water: +500
Call Me By Your Name: +500
Mudbound: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST COSTUME DESIGN’
Phantom Thread: +110
Beauty and the Beast: +250
Blade Runner 2049: +450
The Shape of Water: +450
Wonder Woman: +650
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST EDITING’
Dunkirk: -150
Baby Driver: +300
The Shape of Water: +600
Blade Runner 2049: +600
The Post: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST SONG’
Remember Me (Coco): -150
This Is Me (The Greatest Showman): +300
The Mystery of Love (Call Me By Your Name): +500
Stand Up for Something (Marshall) +750
Evermore (Beauty and the Beast) +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST SCORE’
The Shape of Water: +150
Dunkirk: +350
The Post: +350
Phantom Thread: +500
Darkest Hour: +750
Blade Runner 2049: +750
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN’
Blade Runner 2049: +150
The Shape of Water: +225
Phantom Thread: +500
Beauty and the Beast: +500
Dunkirk: +700
Murder on the Orient Express: +1000
2018 CRITICS’ CHOICE AWARD FOR ‘BEST VISUAL EFFECTS’
Blade Runner 2049: +150
The Shape of Water: +350
War for the Planet of the Apes: +350
Wonder Woman: +500
Dunkirk: +750
Thor: Rangarok: +750