Screen Actors Guild Awards Proposition Betting Odds

–The Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards recognize outstanding performances in film and television

–SAG Award winners receive a trophy called ‘The Actor’

–The SAG Awards presentation will take place on January 29, 2017

The most significant awards in the US film business are the Academy Awards. The 89th Academy Awards will take place on February 26, 2017 and the nominations will be announced on Monday, January 24, 2017 via a live stream at Oscars.org. Even being nominated for an Academy Award can ‘make’ careers and a win is enough to gain entree into a very elite club critically and financially. It’s equally as important for the films receiving nominations and can boost public awareness along with box office and DVD revenues significantly.

There’s also a number of ‘preliminary’ awards–referred to as ‘precursor awards’ in ‘The Industry’–that are handed out in the months prior to the Academy Awards broadcast. The Golden Globe Awards were held on January 8, 2017 and there are plenty of other precursor awards of varying significance. Some of these are awards to honor members of a specific professional group like the Costume Designers Guild or the subject at hand, the Screen Actors Guild. Other awards are presented by film critics professional groups based geographically (such as the Denver Film Critics Society) or demographically (the Gay and Lesbian Film Entertainment Critics Association). Other countries have their own movie awards such as the BAFTA Awards presented by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts.

DO THE OSCAR ‘PRECURSOR AWARDS’ HAVE ANY REAL SIGNIFICANCE?

As we noted above, these ‘precursor’ awards have ‘varying degrees of significance’. Some of the lower profile awards–like the Georgia Film Critics Association–likely mean more to the organization giving the awards than the actors and films receiving them. It gets the organization some publicity, validates them professionally and gives them a chance for a good party which always carries a fair degree of value. The professional organizations might not have much significance to the mainstream audience but it’s always rewarding to be recognized by your peers. It’s like winning a ‘Most Valuable Player Award’ in a professional sport–knowing that other people in your industry hold you in high regard is a great feeling.

For a long time there was a prevailing wisdom that the ‘Precursor Awards’ were either influential on Academy Awards voters or, alternately, reflected their mindset. The logic suggested that by paying attention to what wins the lower profile awards you could to some degree ascertain what would win the Academy Awards. That’s not necessary true and never really has been. Sometimes ‘Precursor Awards’ focus on critically acclaimed films, particularly in a year where a big box office hit is expected to dominate the Oscars. The result is that in some years you’ll see the same films winning precursor awards that you will winning the Academy Awards while in other years there will be little or at least not as much overlap.

A few of the bigger ‘Precursor Awards’ have some value to marketing a film at the box office or for DVD sales and, to a lesser extent, can benefit the recipients professionally. Some of these awards that do have ‘financial significance’ in this regard are the Golden Globe Awards, the BAFTA Awards and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. They’re not nearly as important as the Academy Awards but they do have some ‘financial upside’ to the various stakeholders that make them.

Here are the odds for the major film categories at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. The SAG Awards will be broadcast live on January 29, 2017 simulcast on TBS and TNT in the United States.

2017 SAG AWARDS PROPOSITION ODDS

BEST FILM ENSEMBLE
Moonlight: -150
Fences: +350
Manchester By The Sea: +500
Hidden Figures: +2500
Captain Fantastic: +3000

BEST FILM ACTRESS
Natalie Portman–Jackie: -125
Emma Stone–La La Land: +150
Amy Adams–Arrival: +4000
Meryl Streep–Florence Foster Jenkins: +4500
Emily Blunt–The Girl on the Train: +6000

BEST FILM ACTOR
Casey Affleck–Manchester By The Sea: -350
Denzel Washington–Fences: +500
Ryan Gosling–La La Land: +1250
Andrew Garfield–Hacksaw Ridge: +6500
Viggo Mortensen–Captain Fantastic: +7500

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis–Fences: -1200
Naomie Harris–Moonlight: +2500
Michelle Williams–Manchester By The Sea: +3200
Nicole Kidman–Lion: +6500
Octavia Spencer–Hidden Figures: +7500

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali–Moonlight: -1000
Jeff Bridges–Hell or High Water: +1750
Dev Patel–Lion: +4500
Lucas Hedges–Manchester By The Sea: +5000
Hugh Grant–Florence Foster Jenkins +7500

BEST FILM STUNT ENSEMBLE
Hacksaw Ridge: -450
Captain America: Civil War: +650
Doctor Strange: +4500
Jason Bourne: +5000
Nocturnal Animals: +7500

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.