‘Top Chef Colorado’– Episode 3 Betting Odds

–’Top Chef Colorado’ is the title of the 15th season of the ‘Top Chef’ franchise.

–The finale of ‘Top Chef Colorado’ was filmed in Aspen during the Food and Wine Classic.

–Episode 3 of ‘Top Chef Colorado’ will air on December 21, 2017 at 10:00 PM Eastern on Bravo

Episode 2 of ‘Top Chef Colorado’ is in the books and self described witch Claudette Zepeda-Wilkins was the elimination for the week. She was among our three way co-favorites in the ‘next to be eliminated’ market at +500. The other two chefs atop the ‘next to be eliminated’ table were Tanya Holland and Carrie Baird though they were very solid in Episode 2. Baird was the winner of the elimination challenge and Holland was top five. Also in the top five Laura Cole (our +600 co-favorite to win Season 15 as of Episode 2) and so much for the gender disparity noted in week one. Christopher Scott and Fatima Ali rounded out the top five. In addition to the aforementioned elimination of Claudette Zepeda-Wilkins the bottom three were Adrienne Cheatham, Rogelio Garcia, and Tyler Anderson.

I’m going to start tracking ‘Top Chef’ power ratings and see if they tell us anything. I’ll adapt the same format that I used for ‘Project Runway’ this season giving points for ‘High’ finishes in the elimination challenge and subtracting points for ‘Low’ finishes. It worked reasonably well for ‘Project Runway’ until the finale and was particularly effective in revealing ‘false favorites’. It might not be quite as accurate for ‘Top Chef’ due to the absence of a weekly challenge ‘runner up’ for both the winner and the elimination ‘victim’. I debated giving more emphasis to superlative and substandard performances (3 for a win, 2 for ‘High’ and -2 for ‘Low) but we’ll roll with this scoring criteria for now:

WIN = +2
HIGH = +1
IN = 0
LOW = -1

‘TOP CHEF’ POWER RATINGS THROUGH EPISODE 3

Fatima Ali: +2
Christopher Scott: +2
Laura Cole: +1
Tyler Anderson: +1
Carrie Baird: +1
Tanya Holland: +1
Joe Sasto: 0
Brother Luck: 0
Tu David Phu: 0
Joseph Flamm: 0
Bruce Kalman: 0
Rogelio Garcia: -1
Adrienne Cheatham: -2

Nothing really revelatory so far. Based on the performance numbers I might have to slightly upgrade Christoper Scott (two ‘High’ finishes) and downgrade Adrienne Cheatham (two ‘Low’ finishes). The only other contestant with two ‘High’ finishes is Season 15 favorite Fatima Ali. Interesting to note that Week 1 winner Tyler Anderson was a ‘Low’ finish in Week 2 and Week 2 winner Carrie Baird was a ‘Low’ finish in Week 1. Also of some interest– the contestant eliminated in Week 2, Claudette Zepeda-Wilkins, won in her first appearance on the web series ‘Last Chance Kitchen’. The season winner of ‘Last Chance Kitchen’ earns a spot in the ‘Top Chef’ finals–sort of like the second ring in a two ring battle royal.

Here are the odds to win the overall season competition along with odds for Episode Three:

‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ TOP CHEF SEASON 15 BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’

Fatima Ali: +350
Christopher Scott: +350
Laura Cole: +700
Tyler Anderson: +700
Carrie Baird: +1250
Brother Luck: +1250
Rogelio Garcia: +1500
Joe Sasto: +1500
Tanya Holland: +1500
Tu David Phu: +1500
Joseph Flamm: +1500
Bruce Kalman: +1500
Adrienne Cheatham: +2500

GENDER OF ‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ WINNER

Male: -140
Female: +120

WILL ANY CHEF WITHDRAW FROM THE ‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ COMPETITION?

Yes: +450
No: -600

‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ EPISODE 3 BETTING ODDS

TO BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 3

Adrienne Cheatham: +350
Carrie Baird: +500
Tanya Holland: +500
Bruce Kalman: +750
Rogelio Garcia: +750
Tu David Phu: +1350
No One Eliminated in Episode 3: +1500
Brother Luck: +1500
Joseph Flamm: +1500
Joe Sasto: +1500
Tyler Anderson: +1500
Laura Cole: +2500
Christopher Scott: +2500
Fatima Ali: +2500

TO BE AMONG THE ‘LOW ENTRIES’ BUT SAFE IN EPISODE 3

Carrie Baird: +450
Tanya Holland: +450
Bruce Kalman: +750
Rogelio Garcia: +750
Adrienne Cheatham: +1000
Joe Sasto: +1000
Tu David Phu: +1000
Brother Luck: +1000
Joseph Flamm: +1000
Tyler Anderson: +1500
Laura Cole: +1500
Christopher Scott: +2500
Fatima Ali: +2500
No One In ‘Low Entries’ and not eliminated in Episode 3: +10000

WHO WILL WIN MAIN CHALLENGE?

Fatima Ali: +350
Christopher Scott: +350
Laura Cole: +700
Tyler Anderson: +700
Rogelio Garcia: +1250
No main challenge winner in Episode 3: +1250
Joe Sasto: +1500
Brother Luck: +1500
Tu David Phu: +1500
Joseph Flamm: +1500
Bruce Kalman: +1500
Adrienne Cheatham: +2500
Carrie Baird: +2500
Tanya Holland: +2500

WHO WILL WIN QUICKFIRE CHALLENGE?

Fatima Ali: +300
Laura Cole: +700
Christopher Scott: +700
Tyler Anderson: +700
Tanya Holland: +900
No quickfire challenge winner in Episode 3: +1250
Rogelio Garcia: +1250
Joe Sasto: +1250
Carrie Baird: +1500
Brother Luck: +1500
Tu David Phu: +1500
Joseph Flamm: +2500
Bruce Kalman: +2500
Adrienne Cheatham: +2500

‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ EPISODE 3 RATING (Adults 18-49)

Over 0.31: -130
Under 0.31: +110

‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ EPISODE 3 TOTAL VIEWERSHIP

Over 0.80 million: -130
Under 0.80 million: +110

‘TOP CHEF COLORADO’ EPISODE 3 NIGHTLY RANKING AMONG TOP 150 ORIGINAL CABLE PROGRAMS FOR THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

Over 12.5: -130
Under 12.5: +110

The previous three props will be graded from information published on ShowBuzzDaily

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.