‘Big Brother’ Season 20 Betting Odds Episode 20

–The long running ‘Big Brother’ reality show is back for a 20th season.

–’Big Brother’ is a spin-off of a Dutch TV series of the same name.

–Episode 20 of ‘Big Brother’ Season 20 airs Thursday, August 9 on CBS TV.

Rachel Swindler was eliminated on last week’s live ‘Big Brother’ episode which reduces the houseguest roster to 11. I didn’t expect much out of Swindler going forward–she was a +2500 longshot to emerge as the Season 20 winner–but I didn’t see her as being immediately at risk and was priced at +1500 on the ‘next to be eliminated’ board.

At the other end of the spectrum, Season 20 favorite Tyler Crispen continued to consolidate his position and has moved into ‘chalk’ territory for the first time this season. Crispen is now a -150 choice to claim ‘Big Brother’ supremacy. It’s essentially him and everyone else at this point. Sam Bledsoe is a +400 second choice to win Season 20 and no one else is priced at single digits. Brett Robinson and Kaycee Clark are at +1000 making them a distant third favorite in the current ‘To Win’ betting market.

This is a good time to point out another time tested reality show handicapping concept. It’s a corollary of the ‘Buitendorp Concept’ that stipulates that ‘just because everyone hates a contestant doesn’t mean they’ll be the next to be eliminated’. We’ll call this the ‘Paul Abrahamian Concept’ based on the presumptive favorite for most of ‘Big Brother’ Season 19. Abrahamian entered the finale as a -350 chalk to win Season 19 but didn’t seal the deal. The concept of a prohibitive favorite in a reality show–particularly one without a talent component–is a highly dubious one in my estimation. Also worth noting that the Season 19 winner, Josh Martinez, was among the longshots to win in the first half of the year. Paul Abrahamian did managed to hold on to the ‘Runner-up’ position–interestingly, he was also the ‘runner up’ in Season 18 making him sort of a Jim Kelly of ‘Big Brother’ and the only two time second place finisher in series history.

Here’s the updated odds to win ‘Big Brother Season 20’ along with Episode 20 proposition odds:

‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 20 PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 20

Tyler Crispen: -150
Sam Bledsoe: +400
Brett Robinson: +1000
Kaycee Clark: +1000
Scottie Salton: +1500
Bayleigh Dayton: +1500
Faysal Shafaat: +2500
Angela Rummens: +2500
Haleigh Broucher: +2500
JC Monduix: +5000
Angie Rockstar Lantry: +5000

‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 20 EPISODE 20 PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS

WHO WILL BE EVICTED LIVE ON AIR IN EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Angie Rockstar Lantry: +150
Bayleigh Dayton: +450
Scottie Salton: +750
Brett Robinson: +750
JC Monduix: +750
Angela Rummens: +1000
Faysal Shafaat: +1000
Kaycee Clark: +2500
Haleigh Broucher: +2500
Sam Bledsoe: +5000
Tyler Crispen: +5000
No One Evicted: +5000

WHO WILL BE NAMED ‘HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD’ LIVE ON AIR IN EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Tyler Crispen: +225
Brett Robinson: +500
Sam Bledsoe: +500
Kaycee Clark: +700
Faysal Shafaat: +1000
Bayleigh Dayton: +1000
Scottie Salton: +1000
Angela Rummens: +1500
Haleigh Broucher: +1500
JC Monduix: +2500
Angie Rockstar Lantry: +5000
No One Named HOH: +2500

WILL THE LIVE ELIMINATION VOTE IN EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’ BE UNANIMOUS?

Yes: +300
No: -350

WILL ANYONE KISS LIVE ON AIR DURING IN EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: -350
No: +300

WILL ANYONE SAY ‘FRIENDSHIP’ LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: -250
No: +210

WILL ANYONE SAY ‘YOUR BOY’ LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANYONE SWEAR OR BE ‘BLEEPED’ LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: -170
No: +150

WILL ANY MALE CONTESTANT WEAR A SLEEVELESS SHIRT LIVE ON AIR IN EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: +210
No: -250

WILL TWO OR MORE CONTESTANTS GET INTO A FISTFIGHT LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: +300
No: -350

WILL ANY CONTESTANT(S) BE BOOED BY THE AUDIENCE LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Yes: +180
No: -210

NUMBER OF TIMES JULIE CHEN SAYS ‘BUT FIRST’ LIVE ON AIR DURING THE EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

Over 2.5: -250
Under 2.5: +210

EXACT NUMBER OF TIMES JULIE CHEN SAYS ‘BUT FIRST’ LIVE ON AIR DURING EPISODE 20 OF ‘BIG BROTHER’?

0: +2000
1: +500
2: +350
3: +175
4 or more:+115

EPISODE 20 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.45: -210
Under 1.45: +180

EPISODE 20 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

6 or higher: -750
Under 6: +600

EPISODE 20 TOTAL VIEWERS

Over 5.5 million: -170
Under 5.5 million: +150

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.