2018 Golden Globe Awards Film Betting Odds

–The 2018 Golden Globe Awards will take place on Sunday, January 7 2018

–2018 will be the 75th Golden Globe Awards

–The award winners are selected by members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association(HFPA)

Since this site is called ‘Sports Betting Experts’ I try to use sports metaphors as often as possible, even on ‘non-sport’ betting events. For the entertainment industry the Academy Awards is the ‘Super Bowl’ of awards show. Obviously, this means that the film industry enjoys a higher degree of status than their television counterparts (though the gap is closing quickly). The major TV awards are the Emmy Awards which don’t take place until September. For that reason, we’ll focus more on the predictive dynamic of the film awards since the Golden Globe Awards kick off the season of smaller film awards from a variety of critics groups and professional trade associations. These are similar to the Kentucky Derby Qualifying races and helpful to watch just to get a feel for which contenders are legit.

If we were to use the football metaphor about the Golden Globe Awards it would strictly be a more entertaining version of a preseason game. A more appropriate description–it’s a watered down version of those great ‘Celebrity Roasts’ that Dean Martin used to do in the 1970’s only with awards handed out. Or at least that’s how it was in the past. It’ll be interesting to see the ‘mood of the room’ and the American film industry in general in the aftermath of the Harvey Weinstein sexual harassment fiasco. Will the Golden Globes be back to their business of boozy fun as usual? Will it still be a party only with everyone keeping their hands to themselves? Or has the entire power dynamic in Hollywood change forever and the Golden Globes will adopt the self

The odds for the Golden Globes Television Categories went up yesterday along with a lengthy discussion of the relevance of these and other award shows in a ‘post-Weinstein’ Hollywood. In this post we’ll keep it simple and just post the odds for the film categories. Check back for some prop bets closer to showtime:

75TH GOLDEN GLOBES AWARDS FILM BETTING ODDS

BEST FILM DRAMA

The Post: +115
The Shape of Water: +200
Dunkirk: +450
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +650
Call Me By Your Name: +650

BEST ACTRESS IN A FILM DRAMA

Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): +110
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water): +225
Meryl Streep (The Post): +350
Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World): +700
Jessica Chastain(Molly’s Game): +700

BEST ACTOR IN A FILM DRAMA

Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour): -300
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread): +500
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name): +500
Tom Hanks (The Post): +950
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.): +950

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL

Lady Bird: -200
Get Out: +350
I, Tonya: +500
The Disaster Artist: +750
The Greatest Showman: +750

BEST ACTRESS IN A FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL

Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird): -350
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya): +300
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes): +750
Helen Mirren(The Leisure Seeker): +1250
Judi Dench(Victoria and Abdul): +1250

BEST ACTOR IN A FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL

James Franco (The Disaster Artist): -225
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out): +350
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes): +750
Ansel Elgort(Baby Driver): +750
Hugh Jackman(The Greatest Showman): +750

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project): -120
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): +250
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name): +600
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water): +600
Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World): +600

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird): -225
Allison Janney (I, Tonya): +300
Hong Chau (Downsizing): +750
Mary J. Blige(Mudbound): +900
Judi Dench(Victoria and Abdul): +900

BEST FILM DIRECTOR

Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water): -150
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) +300
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): +500
Ridley Scott (All the Money in the World): +750
Steven Spielberg (The Post): +750

BEST FILM SCREENPLAY

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +120
Lady Bird: +200
The Shape of Water: +450
The Post: +600
Molly’s Game: +600

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Coco: -270
The Breadwinner: +450
Loving Vincent: +750
Ferdinand: +750
Boss Baby: +750

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

The Square: -150
A Fantastic Woman: +400
First They Killed My Father: +400
Loveless: +700
In the Fade: +700

BEST SONG

Remember Me (Coco): -135
Mighty River (Mudbound): +350
This Is Me (The Greatest Showman): +350
Home (Ferdinand): +750
The Star (The Star): +750

BEST SCORE

The Shape of Water: +100
Dunkirk: +250
The Post: +350
Phantom Thread: +700
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +700

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.