2018 Film Independent Spirit Awards Betting Odds
–The Film Independent Spirit Awards are traditionally held the night before the Academy Awards
–There is more and more ‘overlap’ between the Independent Spirit Awards and the Oscars every year
–The 33rd Independent Spirit Awards will be held on March 3, 2018 and broadcast live on the IFC Network
The last of the so-called ‘precursor’ awards to the Academy Awards really isn’t supposed to be a ‘precursor’ at all. The Film Independent Spirit Awards (that’s now the official name, changed from ‘Independent Spirit Awards‘) has historically recognized films that might be too far out of the mainstream for the Oscars. Whether that’s the case anymore is debatable but more about that in a moment. Since 1999, the Film Independent Spirit Awards have been held on the night before the Academy Awards. Before that, they took place the a week before the ‘main event’. The Film Independent Spirit Awards are a project of Film Independent, a non-profit organization that also produces the Los Angeles Film Festival. Their mission statement is “to champion creative independence in visual storytelling and support a community of artists who embody diversity, innovation and uniqueness of vision”.
That sounds great and all, but like so many other awards shows they may have outlived their usefulness in an era when everyone with a cellphone can start shooting video. The Academy Awards have become more inclusive of independent films but the Independent Spirit Awards haven’t recalibrated their selection process to stay on the ‘cutting edge’. That’s evident from a look at the nominees–three of the five nominees for the Independent Spirit Award for ‘Best Picture’ are also nominated for the same category at the Academy Awards as are 3 of the 5 ‘Best Actress’ nominees. The Independent Spirit Awards do have special awards for first time filmmakers and screenwriters which is unique but otherwise it’s starting to seem like more of a generic ‘precursor’ award show. If the Independent Spirit Awards honor the same films that the Academy Awards will honor 24 hours later what function do they serve?
One answer to that question–they represent another betting opportunity. Here’s the odds on the 2018 Film Independent Spirit Awards:
2018 FILM INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARDS BETTING ODDS
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST PICTURE’?
Get Out: -150
Call Me By Your Name: +250
Lady Bird: +500
The Rider: +750
The Florida Project: +1000
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST DIRECTOR’?
Jordan Peele (Get Out): -300
Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name): +500
Benny Safdie and Josh Safdie (Good Time): +700
Sean Baker (The Florida Project): +700
Chloe Zhao (The Rider): +1750
Jonas Carpignano (A Ciambra): +2250
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST FEMALE LEAD’?
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): -300
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird): +500
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya): +750
Salma Hayek (Beatriz at Dinner): +750
Regina Williams (Life and Nothing More): +1700
Shinobu Tarajima (Oh Lucy!): +1700
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE’?
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird): -325
Allison Janney (I, Tonya): +300
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick): +1000
Lois Smith (Marjorie Prime): +1000
Taliah Lennice Webster (Good Time): +1500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST MALE LEAD’?
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name): -1500
James Franco (The Disaster Artist): +450
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out): +1500
Harris Dickson (Beach Rats): +2500
Robert Pattinson (Good Time): +2500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST SUPPORTING MALE’?
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri): -3500
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name): +700
Benny Safdie (Good Time): +1500
Barry Keoghan (Killing of a Sacred Deer): +2000
Nnamdi Asomugha (Crown Heights): +2000
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST SCREENPLAY’?
Get Out: +100
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: +115
Lady Bird: +350
The Lovers: +2500
Beatriz at Dinner: +2500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST FIRST FEATURE’?
Columbus: -350
Ingrid Goes West: +350
Patti Cake$: +700
Oh Lucy!: +1500
Menashie: +1500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST FIRST SCREENPLAY’?
The Big Sick: -25000
Columbus: +1000
Ingrid Goes West: +1500
Donald Cried: +1500
Women Who Kill: +1500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY’?
Call Me By Your Name: -15000
Killing of a Sacred Deer: +1000
Columbus: +1000
Beach Rats: +2500
The Rider: +2500
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD FOR ‘BEST EDITING’?
I, Tonya: +110
Get Out: +150
Good Time: +400
Call Me By Your Name: +1000
The Rider: +1000
TO WIN THE INDEPENDENT SPIRIT ‘JOHN CASSAVETES AWARD’?
Life and Nothing More: +145
A Ghost Story: +200
The Transfiguration: +500
Dayveon: +500
Most Beautiful Island: +500